Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDG prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Mineros de Zacatecas to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMineros de Zacatecas to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.04
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDG preview and prediction
The match
Leones Negros UDG travel to Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba in the Liga De Expansión MX on Sunday 25 October (01:00 WAT) to face Mineros de Zacatecas. Mineros de Zacatecas are 10th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Leones Negros UDG sit 2nd on 30 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Mineros de Zacatecas's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Leones Negros UDG's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.3 for Mineros de Zacatecas and 1.4 for Leones Negros UDG. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 72% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Mineros de Zacatecas to win at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Mineros de Zacatecas 2–1 Leones Negros UDG. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mineros de Zacatecas56%fair 1.79 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
Leones Negros UDG23%fair 4.33 · @3.20
3.73Expected goals
2.29Mineros de Zacatecas xG
1.44Leones Negros UDG xG
64%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–27%
2–06%
1–26%
From our goals model: Mineros de Zacatecas 2.3 – 1.4 Leones Negros UDG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mineros de Zacatecas to win✗
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Mineros de Zacatecas ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mineros de Zacatecas / FT Mineros de Zacatecas✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.04
–
Form
Mineros de Zacatecas – last 6
LDLWWL
17 Oct
@ Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Cancún
2–2
D
4 Oct
@ Durango
2–4
L
25 Sep
vs Piratas
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ Tepatitlán
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Monarcas
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Leones Negros UDG – last 6
LDWWLD
18 Oct
vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Venados FC
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs Dorados
6–3
W
26 Sep
@ Cruz Azul Hidalgo
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Monarcas
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs CA La Paz
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mineros de Zacatecas and Leones Negros UDG.
What is the prediction for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDG?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDG?
On our numbers Mineros de Zacatecas have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Leones Negros UDG 23%.
How many goals will there be in Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDG?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDG?
Our predicted score is Mineros de Zacatecas 2–1 Leones Negros UDG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDG?
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDG (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
