Liga De Expansión MX · Mexico · Estadio TamaulipasCDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: CDS Tampico Madero 1.6 – 1.5 CA La Paz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates CDS Tampico Madero and CA La Paz on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 22% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
CDS Tampico Madero have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. CA La Paz have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.5 scored and 1.7 conceded. CA La Paz come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (1.6 for CDS Tampico Madero, 1.5 for CA La Paz). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).
In their last 3 meetings, CDS Tampico Madero have won 2, CA La Paz have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.3 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.53.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | CDS Tampico Madero to win ✗ | 40% | 2.51 | 2.40 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 39% | 2.58 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT CDS Tampico Madero / FT CDS Tampico Madero ✗ | 23% | 4.32 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 8% | 11.77 | – |
Form
CDS Tampico Madero – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Monarcas | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Durango | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ Tepatitlán | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Correcaminos Uat | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Dorados | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Tlaxcala | 1–3 | L |
CA La Paz – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Tlaxcala | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Tapatío | 4–2 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Venados FC | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Sep | @ Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Correcaminos Uat | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Leones Negros UDG | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
| 26 Apr 2026 | CA La Paz v CDS Tampico Madero | 1–2 |
| 23 Apr 2026 | CDS Tampico Madero v CA La Paz | 2–0 |
| 28 Mar 2026 | CA La Paz v CDS Tampico Madero | 1–1 |
Liga De Expansión MX table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CA La Paz | 15 | +18 | 30 |
| 2 |  Leones Negros UDG | 15 | +14 | 30 |
| 3 |  Monarcas | 15 | +7 | 26 |
| 4 |  Piratas | 15 | +12 | 25 |
| 5 |  Cancún | 15 | +10 | 25 |
| 6 |  Venados FC | 15 | +6 | 25 |
| 7 |  Durango | 15 | +6 | 24 |
| 8 |  Tlaxcala | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 15 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 |  Mineros de Zacatecas | 15 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 |  Tapatío | 15 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 |  Correcaminos Uat | 15 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 |  Dorados | 15 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 |  CDS Tampico Madero | 15 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 15 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 |  Tepatitlán | 15 | -33 | 7 |
More Liga De Expansión MX predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz?
On our numbers CDS Tampico Madero have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CA La Paz 38%.
How many goals will there be in CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
When is CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz?
CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tamaulipas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.