Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Tlaxcala to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTlaxcala to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.78
Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat preview and prediction
The match
The Liga De Expansión MX sees Tlaxcala take on Correcaminos Uat on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Tlahuicole. Tlaxcala are 8th with 22 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Correcaminos Uat sit 12th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Tlaxcala's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with CA La Paz 2–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Correcaminos Uat's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Dorados 1–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Tlaxcala arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.3 for Tlaxcala and 1.4 for Correcaminos Uat. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Tlaxcala to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tlaxcala 2–1 Correcaminos Uat. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tlaxcala60%fair 1.66 · @1.95
Draw16%fair 6.13 · @3.60
Correcaminos Uat23%fair 4.27 · @3.10
3.65Expected goals
2.30Tlaxcala xG
1.35Correcaminos Uat xG
65%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Tlaxcala 2.3 – 1.4 Correcaminos Uat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tlaxcala to win✓
60%
1.66
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Tlaxcala ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tlaxcala / FT Tlaxcala✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.78
–
Form
Tlaxcala – last 6
DWDWLW
17 Oct
@ CA La Paz
2–2
D
10 Oct
vs Piratas
4–2
W
4 Oct
@ Monarcas
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Cancún
4–1
W
21 Sep
@ Tapatío
0–4
L
12 Sep
vs CDS Tampico Madero
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Correcaminos Uat – last 6
LLDWLD
17 Oct
vs Dorados
1–2
L
9 Oct
@ Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1–2
L
3 Oct
vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs CDS Tampico Madero
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ CA La Paz
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs Cancún
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tlaxcala and Correcaminos Uat.
What is the prediction for Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat?
Our pick is Tlaxcala to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat?
On our numbers Tlaxcala have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Correcaminos Uat 23%.
How many goals will there be in Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat?
Our predicted score is Tlaxcala 2–1 Correcaminos Uat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat?
Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tlahuicole.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
