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Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultCardiff Draconians to win ✗40% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.17

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians preview and prediction

The match

Trethomas Bluebirds host Cardiff Draconians in the FAW Championship on Friday 23 October, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT). Trethomas Bluebirds are 8th with 17 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Cardiff Draconians sit 14th on 12 points (in the bottom three).

Form guide

Trethomas Bluebirds's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Cambrian & Clydach 0–5 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.

Cardiff Draconians's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Radnor Valley 3–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.

Cardiff Draconians arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.7 for Trethomas Bluebirds and 1.7 for Cardiff Draconians. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Trethomas Bluebirds 1–2 Cardiff Draconians. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Trethomas Bluebirds39%fair 2.54 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.80
Cardiff Draconians40%fair 2.51 · @2.62
3.41Expected goals
1.70Trethomas Bluebirds xG
1.71Cardiff Draconians xG
58%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%

From our goals model: Trethomas Bluebirds 1.7 – 1.7 Cardiff Draconians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCardiff Draconians to win ✗40%2.512.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.72–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.531.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗56%1.80–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗37%2.72–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cardiff Draconians / FT Cardiff Draconians ✗23%4.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.17–

Form

Trethomas Bluebirds – last 6

LWLDDW
16 Oct@ Cambrian & Clydach0–5L
10 Oct@ Treowen Stars3–1W
3 Octvs Pontardawe Town2–3L
26 Sep@ Ynyshir Albions1–1D
4 Sepvs Caerphilly Athletic2–2D
31 Aug@ Carmarthen Town3–2W
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Cardiff Draconians – last 6

WDDLWW
17 Oct@ Radnor Valley3–1W
10 Octvs Carmarthen Town2–2D
3 Octvs Newport City1–1D
26 Sepvs Caerau (Ely)1–3L
12 Sepvs Baglan Dragons2–1W
22 Augvs llanelli AFC4–2W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Trethomas Bluebirds and Cardiff Draconians.

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pontypridd Town13832+1327
2Aberystwyth Town11812+1825
3Swansea University11731+1924
4Caerau (Ely)13715+122
5Baglan Dragons13625020
6Ynyshir Albions11542+719
7Afan Lido14536-218
8Trethomas Bluebirds13454+317
9Treowen Stars12525-117
10Carmarthen Town13436-615
11Pontardawe Town11425-114
12Caerphilly Athletic13427-714
13Newport City11344+413
14Cardiff Draconians11335-512
15Llantwit Major12336-1212
16llanelli AFC140311-313

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians?

On our numbers Trethomas Bluebirds have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cardiff Draconians 40%.

How many goals will there be in Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians?

Our predicted score is Trethomas Bluebirds 1–2 Cardiff Draconians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians?

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.