Newport City vs Pontypridd Town prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPontypridd Town to win ✗40% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.04
Newport City vs Pontypridd Town preview and prediction
The match
Pontypridd Town travel to face Newport City in the FAW Championship on Friday 23 October (19:30 WAT). Newport City are 13th with 13 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Pontypridd Town sit 1st on 27 points (top of the table). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Newport City's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Carmarthen Town 5–4 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Pontypridd Town's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Baglan Dragons 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.7 for Newport City and 1.8 for Pontypridd Town. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 65%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Newport City 37%, draw 23%, Pontypridd Town 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Newport City 1–1 Pontypridd Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newport City37%fair 2.69 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.25
Pontypridd Town40%fair 2.51 · @2.60
3.44Expected goals
1.69Newport City xG
1.75Pontypridd Town xG
65%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–05%
From our goals model: Newport City 1.7 – 1.8 Pontypridd Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pontypridd Town to win✗
40%
2.51
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pontypridd Town / FT Pontypridd Town✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.04
–
Form
Newport City – last 6
WLDDLL
17 Oct
@ Carmarthen Town
5–4
W
9 Oct
@ Caerphilly Athletic
2–3
L
3 Oct
@ Cardiff Draconians
1–1
D
25 Sep
@ Afan Lido
0–0
D
28 Aug
vs Ynyshir Albions
0–1
L
21 Aug
vs Baglan Dragons
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Pontypridd Town – last 6
DWLWLD
10 Oct
@ Baglan Dragons
1–1
D
6 Oct
vs Llantwit Major
4–1
W
3 Oct
vs Aberystwyth Town
1–3
L
25 Sep
@ Caerphilly Athletic
2–1
W
11 Sep
vs Afan Lido
0–1
L
28 Aug
@ Swansea University
4–4
D
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newport City and Pontypridd Town.
What is the prediction for Newport City vs Pontypridd Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Newport City vs Pontypridd Town?
On our numbers Newport City have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pontypridd Town 40%.
How many goals will there be in Newport City vs Pontypridd Town?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newport City vs Pontypridd Town?
Our predicted score is Newport City 1–1 Pontypridd Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Newport City vs Pontypridd Town?
Newport City vs Pontypridd Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
