FAW Championship · Wales · Stebonheath Parkllanelli AFC vs Afan Lido prediction & analysis
Afan Lido to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: llanelli AFC 1.2 – 2.6 Afan Lido expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Afan Lido travel as clear favourites – 67% to win, against 15% for llanelli AFC.
llanelli AFC have taken 0 points from their last 6 matches (0W 0D 6L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 3.5 per game. Afan Lido have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded. Afan Lido come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.7 goals (1.2 for llanelli AFC, 2.6 for Afan Lido). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (9%), 0–2 (8%), 1–3 (8%).
Our pick is Afan Lido to win at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.55 is better than our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Afan Lido to win ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.55 |
| Double chance | Afan Lido or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 64% | 1.55 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 89% | 1.13 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | – |
| Half-time result | Afan Lido ahead at half-time ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Afan Lido / FT Afan Lido ✓ | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 10.88 | – |
Form
llanelli AFC – last 6
| 16 Oct | @ Caerau (Ely) | 0–6 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Ynyshir Albions | 2–6 | L |
| 2 Oct | vs Baglan Dragons | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Llantwit Major | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Sep | @ Caerau (Ely) | 0–3 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs Treowen Stars | 0–2 | L |
Afan Lido – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Penybont | 2–3 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Swansea University | 5–5 | D |
| 2 Oct | @ Caerau (Ely) | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Sep | vs Newport City | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Sep | @ Pontypridd Town | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Sep | @ Baglan Dragons | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between llanelli AFC and Afan Lido.
FAW Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pontypridd Town | 13 | +13 | 27 |
| 2 |  Aberystwyth Town | 11 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 |  Swansea University | 11 | +19 | 24 |
| 4 |  Caerau (Ely) | 13 | +1 | 22 |
| 5 |  Baglan Dragons | 13 | 0 | 20 |
| 6 |  Ynyshir Albions | 11 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 |  Afan Lido | 14 | -2 | 18 |
| 8 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 13 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Treowen Stars | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 |  Carmarthen Town | 13 | -6 | 15 |
| 11 |  Pontardawe Town | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 |  Newport City | 11 | +4 | 13 |
| 14 |  Cardiff Draconians | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Llantwit Major | 12 | -12 | 12 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 14 | -31 | 3 |
More FAW Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido?
Our pick is Afan Lido to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido?
On our numbers llanelli AFC have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Afan Lido 67%.
How many goals will there be in llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
When is llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido?
llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stebonheath Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.