Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBuckley Town to win ✓65% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Buckley Town vs Penrhyncoch preview and prediction
The match
Penrhyncoch travel to face Buckley Town in the FAW Championship on Saturday 5 September (14:30 WAT). Buckley Town are 9th with 15 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Penrhyncoch sit 16th on 1 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Buckley Town's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Caersws 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Penrhyncoch's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Guilsfield 0–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.3 for Buckley Town and 1.1 for Penrhyncoch. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Buckley Town 65%, draw 15%, Penrhyncoch 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Buckley Town to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Buckley Town 2–1 Penrhyncoch. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Buckley Town65%fair 1.53 · @1.73
Draw15%fair 6.74 · @3.90
Penrhyncoch20%fair 5.04 · @3.40
3.36Expected goals
2.25Buckley Town xG
1.11Penrhyncoch xG
66%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Buckley Town 2.3 – 1.1 Penrhyncoch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Buckley Town to win✓
65%
1.53
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Buckley Town ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Buckley Town / FT Buckley Town✓
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Form
Buckley Town – last 6
LWLDLL
31 Aug
@ Caersws
0–2
L
28 Aug
vs Guilsfield
3–1
W
21 Aug
@ Mold Alexandra
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Porthmadog
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Llanuwchllyn
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Denbigh Town
2–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Penrhyncoch – last 6
LDLLLW
31 Aug
@ Guilsfield
0–4
L
28 Aug
vs Denbigh Town
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Brickfield Rangers
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Newtown AFC
0–5
L
1 Aug
vs Porthmadog
1–3
L
6 Apr
@ Caersws
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Buckley Town and Penrhyncoch.
What is the prediction for Buckley Town vs Penrhyncoch?
Our pick is Buckley Town to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Buckley Town vs Penrhyncoch?
On our numbers Buckley Town have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Penrhyncoch 20%.
How many goals will there be in Buckley Town vs Penrhyncoch?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buckley Town vs Penrhyncoch?
Our predicted score is Buckley Town 2–1 Penrhyncoch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Buckley Town vs Penrhyncoch?
Buckley Town vs Penrhyncoch (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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