FAW Championship · WalesYnyshir Albions vs Pontypridd Town prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.65
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ynyshir Albions 1.4 – 1.7 Pontypridd Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Pontypridd Town shade it despite being away from home – 46% to win, against 35% for Ynyshir Albions.
Ynyshir Albions have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. Pontypridd Town have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.8 scored and 2.2 conceded. Pontypridd Town come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (1.4 for Ynyshir Albions, 1.7 for Pontypridd Town). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is close to our fair price of 1.70.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Pontypridd Town to win | 46% | 2.16 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 81% | 1.23 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 56% | 1.80 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.70 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 39% | 2.60 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Pontypridd Town / FT Pontypridd Town | 27% | 3.77 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 | 9% | 11.09 | – |
Form
Ynyshir Albions – last 6
| 31 Aug | @ Afan Lido | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Aug | @ Newport City | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Caerphilly Athletic | 1–2 | L |
| 7 Aug | @ Caerau (Ely) | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Aug | vs Cardiff Draconians | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Mar | @ Cardiff Draconians | 1–4 | L |
Pontypridd Town – last 6
| 28 Aug | @ Swansea University | 4–4 | D |
| 21 Aug | vs Trethomas Bluebirds | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Cardiff Draconians | 4–1 | W |
| 7 Aug | vs Pontardawe Town | 3–2 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ Treowen Stars | 3–2 | W |
| 27 Mar | vs Trefelin | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ynyshir Albions and Pontypridd Town.
FAW Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pontypridd Town | 13 | +13 | 27 |
| 2 |  Aberystwyth Town | 11 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 |  Swansea University | 11 | +19 | 24 |
| 4 |  Caerau (Ely) | 13 | +1 | 22 |
| 5 |  Baglan Dragons | 13 | 0 | 20 |
| 6 |  Ynyshir Albions | 11 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 |  Afan Lido | 14 | -2 | 18 |
| 8 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 13 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Treowen Stars | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 |  Carmarthen Town | 13 | -6 | 15 |
| 11 |  Pontardawe Town | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 |  Newport City | 11 | +4 | 13 |
| 14 |  Cardiff Draconians | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Llantwit Major | 12 | -12 | 12 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 14 | -31 | 3 |
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What is the prediction for Ynyshir Albions vs Pontypridd Town?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Ynyshir Albions vs Pontypridd Town?
On our numbers Ynyshir Albions have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Pontypridd Town 46%.
How many goals will there be in Ynyshir Albions vs Pontypridd Town?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Ynyshir Albions vs Pontypridd Town?
Ynyshir Albions vs Pontypridd Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.