Value bet: Chelyabinsk to win @ 2.27 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChelyabinsk to win ✗49% · @2.27
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.38
Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Tekstilshchik take on Chelyabinsk on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Tekstilshchik Stadium. Tekstilshchik are 18th with 11 points from 17 games (in the bottom three), while Chelyabinsk sit 11th on 21 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Tekstilshchik's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Chertanovo Moscow 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Chelyabinsk's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Spartak Kostroma 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Chelyabinsk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.0 for Tekstilshchik and 1.5 for Chelyabinsk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 47%.
Value angle: Chelyabinsk to win at 2.27 – 49% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.32. Predicted score: Tekstilshchik 1–1 Chelyabinsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tekstilshchik29%fair 3.44 · @2.99
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.22
Chelyabinsk49%fair 2.04 · @2.27
2.51Expected goals
1.04Tekstilshchik xG
1.46Chelyabinsk xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Tekstilshchik 1.0 – 1.5 Chelyabinsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelyabinsk to win✗
49%
2.04
2.27 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.84
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.66
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelyabinsk / FT Chelyabinsk✗
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.38
–
Form
Tekstilshchik – last 6
LLLDWL
14 Oct
@ Chertanovo Moscow
1–2
L
10 Oct
@ Shinnik Yaroslavl
0–2
L
17 Sep
vs Rotor Volgograd
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Leningradets
2–2
D
8 Sep
vs Arsenal Tula
1–0
W
4 Sep
vs Torpedo Moskva
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chelyabinsk – last 6
LWDWDW
13 Oct
@ Spartak Kostroma
0–1
L
9 Oct
@ FK Neftekhimik
4–2
W
26 Sep
vs Enisey
1–1
D
18 Sep
vs FC UFA
2–1
W
14 Sep
@ KAMAZ
1–1
D
10 Sep
@ Dinamo Barnaul
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tekstilshchik and Chelyabinsk.
What is the prediction for Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk?
On our numbers Tekstilshchik have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chelyabinsk 49%.
How many goals will there be in Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk?
Our predicted score is Tekstilshchik 1–1 Chelyabinsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk?
Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk (First League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Tekstilshchik Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
