First League · Russia · Lenin StadiumSka-khabarovsk vs Volga Ulyanovsk prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
Value bet: Volga Ulyanovsk to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ska-khabarovsk 1.4 – 1.4 Volga Ulyanovsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Ska-khabarovsk and Volga Ulyanovsk on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Ska-khabarovsk have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (2W 4D 0L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. Volga Ulyanovsk have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. Ska-khabarovsk come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.4 for Ska-khabarovsk, 1.4 for Volga Ulyanovsk). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Ska-khabarovsk have won 0, Volga Ulyanovsk have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.37. For a bigger price, Volga Ulyanovsk to win at 2.90 is our value angle (38% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Volga Ulyanovsk to win ✓ | 38% | 2.61 | 2.90 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.77 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.38 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.39 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Volga Ulyanovsk / FT Volga Ulyanovsk ✗ | 22% | 4.60 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.24 | – |
Form
Ska-khabarovsk – last 6
| 14 Oct | vs Dinamo Kirov | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs KAMAZ | 3–3 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ Shinnik Yaroslavl | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Sep | @ FC Sochi | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | @ Arsenal Tula | 2–2 | D |
| 9 Sep | @ Znamya Noginsk | 4–0 | W |
Volga Ulyanovsk – last 6
| 14 Oct | vs Murom | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Rotor Volgograd | 2–2 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ Veles | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Leningradets | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs Spartak Kostroma | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ FC UFA | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
| 5 Apr 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk v Volga Ulyanovsk | 1–1 |
First League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 17 | +37 | 46 |
| 2 |  Ural | 17 | +18 | 34 |
| 3 |  Torpedo Moskva | 17 | +16 | 32 |
| 4 |  FC Sochi | 17 | +6 | 32 |
| 5 |  Veles | 18 | +2 | 31 |
| 6 |  Spartak Kostroma | 17 | +2 | 28 |
| 7 |  Shinnik Yaroslavl | 17 | +4 | 26 |
| 8 |  FC UFA | 17 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Volga Ulyanovsk | 18 | -3 | 22 |
| 10 |  Rotor Volgograd | 17 | +5 | 21 |
| 11 |  Chelyabinsk | 17 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 |  Arsenal Tula | 17 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 |  Leningradets | 17 | -11 | 18 |
| 14 |  Enisey | 17 | -14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Ska-khabarovsk | 17 | -5 | 16 |
| 16 |  KAMAZ | 17 | -9 | 14 |
| 17 |  FK Neftekhimik | 17 | -14 | 13 |
| 18 |  Tekstilshchik | 17 | -17 | 11 |
More First League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ska-khabarovsk vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Ska-khabarovsk vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
On our numbers Ska-khabarovsk have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Volga Ulyanovsk 38%.
How many goals will there be in Ska-khabarovsk vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Ska-khabarovsk vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Ska-khabarovsk vs Volga Ulyanovsk (First League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Lenin Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.