Segunda Liga · Portugal · Amarante StadiumAmarante vs Felgueiras 1932 prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.98 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Amarante 1.3 – 1.0 Felgueiras 1932 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Amarante hold the edge on home soil with a 46% chance of winning, against 31% for Felgueiras 1932.
Amarante have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 per game. Felgueiras 1932 have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.3 for Amarante, 1.0 for Felgueiras 1932). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.51. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 1.98 is our value angle (56% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Amarante to win | 46% | 2.19 | 2.39 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 76% | 1.31 | 1.34 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 56% | 1.79 | 1.98 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 79% | 1.26 | 1.14 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 46% | 2.20 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Amarante / FT Amarante | 25% | 3.94 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 | 13% | 7.91 | – |
Form
Amarante – last 6
| 7 Nov | @ Academica | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Oct | vs FC Porto B | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | @ Torreense | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Academica | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Portimonense | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Ponte da Barca | 2–0 | W |
Felgueiras 1932 – last 6
| 7 Nov | vs Leixoes | 3–3 | D |
| 1 Nov | @ Tondela | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs Lusitânia Lourosa | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Fafe | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Oct | @ Benfica B | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Naval 1893 | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amarante and Felgueiras 1932.
Segunda Liga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Penafiel | 10 | +12 | 22 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP B | 10 | +8 | 22 |
| 3 |  Benfica B | 10 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 |  Lusitânia Lourosa | 10 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 |  União de Leiria | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 |  Academica | 10 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Tondela | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 |  Farense | 10 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 |  Vizela | 10 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Portimonense | 10 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 |  AVS | 10 | +1 | 13 |
| 12 |  Leixoes | 10 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 |  Torreense | 10 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |  Amarante | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 |  Felgueiras 1932 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 |  FC Porto B | 10 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Chaves | 10 | -10 | 8 |
| 18 |  Feirense | 10 | -8 | 5 |
More Segunda Liga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932?
On our numbers Amarante have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Felgueiras 1932 31%.
How many goals will there be in Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932?
Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932 (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Amarante Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.