Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✓90% · fair 1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗10% · fair 9.93
Trefelin vs The New Saints preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Trefelin take on The New Saints on Saturday 26 September, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Ynys Park. Trefelin are 15th with 6 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while The New Saints sit 1st on 44 points (top of the table). A gap of 38 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Trefelin's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Briton Ferry 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
The New Saints's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Llandudno 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
The New Saints arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 0.9 for Trefelin and 2.7 for The New Saints. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 74% and both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Trefelin 10%, draw 15%, The New Saints 75%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.25.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 2.25, above our fair price of 1.86, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Trefelin 1–2 The New Saints. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Trefelin10%fair 10.09 · @29.00
Draw15%fair 6.49 · @15.00
The New Saints75%fair 1.34 · @1.04
3.56Expected goals
0.90Trefelin xG
2.67The New Saints xG
54%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–29%
0–39%
1–38%
0–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Trefelin 0.9 – 2.7 The New Saints expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
The New Saints to win✓
75%
1.34
1.04
Double chance
The New Saints or draw✓
90%
1.11
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.04
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.17
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.40
Half-time result
The New Saints ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT The New Saints / FT The New Saints✓
52%
1.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
10%
9.93
–
Form
Trefelin – last 6
DLLDLD
18 Sep
@ Briton Ferry
1–1
D
15 Sep
vs Cambrian & Clydach
0–4
L
11 Sep
vs Penybont
0–1
L
4 Sep
@ Holywell
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
1–2
L
28 Aug
vs Ammanford AFC
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
The New Saints – last 6
WWWWWW
19 Sep
vs Llandudno
2–1
W
15 Sep
vs Flint Town United
5–0
W
11 Sep
@ Airbus UK
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Barry Town
1–0
W
31 Aug
@ Caernarfon Town
3–2
W
28 Aug
vs Colwyn Bay
5–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trefelin and The New Saints.
What is the prediction for Trefelin vs The New Saints?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.25.
Who will win Trefelin vs The New Saints?
On our numbers Trefelin have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 15% and The New Saints 75%.
How many goals will there be in Trefelin vs The New Saints?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trefelin vs The New Saints?
Our predicted score is Trefelin 1–2 The New Saints, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Trefelin vs The New Saints?
Trefelin vs The New Saints (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Ynys Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
