Cardiff MET vs Caernarfon Town prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Caernarfon Town to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCaernarfon Town to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.63
Cardiff MET vs Caernarfon Town preview and prediction
The match
Caernarfon Town travel to Cyncoed Campus in the Premier League on Saturday 26 September (14:30 WAT) to face Cardiff MET. Cardiff MET are 8th with 25 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Caernarfon Town sit 6th on 29 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Cardiff MET's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to GAP Connah S Quay FC 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Caernarfon Town's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Cambrian & Clydach 9–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 4.2 per game.
Caernarfon Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.3 for Cardiff MET and 2.2 for Caernarfon Town. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cardiff MET 24%, draw 17%, Caernarfon Town 59%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Caernarfon Town to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Cardiff MET 1–2 Caernarfon Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cardiff MET24%fair 4.20 · @3.00
Draw17%fair 5.86 · @3.80
Caernarfon Town59%fair 1.69 · @1.95
3.56Expected goals
1.33Cardiff MET xG
2.22Caernarfon Town xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–18%
0–27%
1–37%
0–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Cardiff MET 1.3 – 2.2 Caernarfon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caernarfon Town to win✗
59%
1.69
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
83%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.62
Half-time result
Caernarfon Town ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caernarfon Town / FT Caernarfon Town✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.63
–
Form
Cardiff MET – last 6
LDDWWL
18 Sep
@ GAP Connah S Quay FC
0–1
L
11 Sep
@ Flint Town United
1–1
D
4 Sep
vs Cambrian & Clydach
2–2
D
31 Aug
@ Ammanford AFC
5–0
W
28 Aug
vs Briton Ferry
3–0
W
21 Aug
vs The New Saints
0–5
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Caernarfon Town – last 6
WDWWLW
18 Sep
vs Cambrian & Clydach
9–1
W
15 Sep
@ Llandudno
1–1
D
11 Sep
@ Ammanford AFC
5–0
W
4 Sep
vs Flint Town United
3–0
W
31 Aug
vs The New Saints
2–3
L
28 Aug
@ Holywell
5–3
W
4.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cardiff MET and Caernarfon Town.
What is the prediction for Cardiff MET vs Caernarfon Town?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Cardiff MET vs Caernarfon Town?
On our numbers Cardiff MET have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Caernarfon Town 59%.
How many goals will there be in Cardiff MET vs Caernarfon Town?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cardiff MET vs Caernarfon Town?
Our predicted score is Cardiff MET 1–2 Caernarfon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Cardiff MET vs Caernarfon Town?
Cardiff MET vs Caernarfon Town (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Cyncoed Campus.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
