Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBriton Ferry to win ✗66% · @1.57
Double chanceBriton Ferry or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Holywell vs Briton Ferry preview and prediction
The match
Briton Ferry travel to Bartons North Wales Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 26 September (14:30 WAT) to face Holywell. Holywell are 16th with 2 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Briton Ferry sit 12th on 15 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Holywell's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Haverfordwest County AFC 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 3.3 conceded.
Briton Ferry's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Trefelin 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.1 for Holywell and 2.4 for Briton Ferry. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Briton Ferry to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Holywell 1–2 Briton Ferry. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Holywell13%fair 7.67 · @4.20
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @4.10
Briton Ferry66%fair 1.52 · @1.57
3.46Expected goals
1.05Holywell xG
2.41Briton Ferry xG
63%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–18%
1–38%
0–18%
0–37%
From our goals model: Holywell 1.1 – 2.4 Briton Ferry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Briton Ferry to win✗
66%
1.52
1.57
Double chance
Briton Ferry or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.62
Half-time result
Briton Ferry ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Briton Ferry / FT Briton Ferry✗
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.44
–
Form
Holywell – last 6
LLLDLL
18 Sep
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
0–1
L
15 Sep
vs Colwyn Bay
0–5
L
11 Sep
@ Cambrian & Clydach
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs Trefelin
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Airbus UK
2–6
L
28 Aug
vs Caernarfon Town
3–5
L
1.2Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Briton Ferry – last 6
DLLLLL
18 Sep
vs Trefelin
1–1
D
15 Sep
@ Penybont
2–3
L
11 Sep
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
1–3
L
4 Sep
vs Airbus UK
0–2
L
31 Aug
vs Barry Town
1–4
L
28 Aug
@ Cardiff MET
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Holywell and Briton Ferry.
What is the prediction for Holywell vs Briton Ferry?
Our pick is Briton Ferry to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Holywell vs Briton Ferry?
On our numbers Holywell have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Briton Ferry 66%.
How many goals will there be in Holywell vs Briton Ferry?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Holywell vs Briton Ferry?
Our predicted score is Holywell 1–2 Briton Ferry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Holywell vs Briton Ferry?
Holywell vs Briton Ferry (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Bartons North Wales Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
