Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPenybont to win ✓62% · @1.67
Double chancePenybont or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.43
Penybont vs Briton Ferry preview and prediction
The match
Briton Ferry travel to Bryntirion Park in the Premier League on Tuesday 15 September (19:45 WAT) to face Penybont. Penybont are 3rd with 36 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Briton Ferry sit 12th on 15 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Penybont's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Trefelin 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Briton Ferry's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Haverfordwest County AFC 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Penybont arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Penybont and 0.7 for Briton Ferry. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 46%.
Our pre-match pick was Penybont to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Penybont 1–0 Briton Ferry. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Penybont62%fair 1.60 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.50
Briton Ferry17%fair 6.04 · @4.80
2.38Expected goals
1.68Penybont xG
0.70Briton Ferry xG
46%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Penybont 1.7 – 0.7 Briton Ferry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Penybont to win✓
62%
1.60
1.67
Double chance
Penybont or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Penybont / FT Penybont✓
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.43
–
Form
Penybont – last 6
WWDDWW
11 Sep
@ Trefelin
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Colwyn Bay
1–0
W
31 Aug
@ Cambrian & Clydach
2–2
D
28 Aug
vs Flint Town United
1–1
D
21 Aug
vs Llandudno
2–1
W
14 Aug
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Briton Ferry – last 6
LLLLWL
11 Sep
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
1–3
L
4 Sep
vs Airbus UK
0–2
L
31 Aug
vs Barry Town
1–4
L
28 Aug
@ Cardiff MET
0–3
L
21 Aug
@ Flint Town United
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ The New Saints
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Penybont and Briton Ferry.
What is the prediction for Penybont vs Briton Ferry?
Our pick is Penybont to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Penybont vs Briton Ferry?
On our numbers Penybont have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Briton Ferry 17%.
How many goals will there be in Penybont vs Briton Ferry?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penybont vs Briton Ferry?
Our predicted score is Penybont 1–0 Briton Ferry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Penybont vs Briton Ferry?
Penybont vs Briton Ferry (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Bryntirion Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
