Barry Town vs Ammanford AFC preview and prediction
The match
Barry Town host Ammanford AFC in the Premier League on Tuesday 15 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Jenner Park. Barry Town are 7th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Ammanford AFC sit 14th on 12 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Barry Town's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Llandudno 4–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Ammanford AFC's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Caernarfon Town 0–5 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Barry Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.5 for Barry Town and 0.9 for Ammanford AFC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barry Town 73%, draw 15%, Ammanford AFC 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.82, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Barry Town 2–1 Ammanford AFC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barry Town73%fair 1.36 · @1.18
Draw15%fair 6.52 · @6.50
Ammanford AFC11%fair 8.78 · @13.00
3.44Expected goals
2.54Barry Town xG
0.90Ammanford AFC xG
55%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–19%
3–09%
1–08%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Barry Town 2.5 – 0.9 Ammanford AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barry Town to win✗
73%
1.36
1.18
Double chance
Barry Town or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Barry Town ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barry Town / FT Barry Town✗
50%
2.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.65
–
Form
Barry Town – last 6
WLWWWW
11 Sep
vs Llandudno
4–1
W
5 Sep
@ The New Saints
0–1
L
31 Aug
@ Briton Ferry
4–1
W
28 Aug
vs Airbus UK
4–2
W
21 Aug
@ Holywell
3–1
W
15 Aug
vs Cardiff MET
1–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ammanford AFC – last 6
LLLDLL
11 Sep
vs Caernarfon Town
0–5
L
4 Sep
@ Llandudno
0–2
L
31 Aug
vs Cardiff MET
0–5
L
28 Aug
@ Trefelin
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs GAP Connah S Quay FC
0–2
L
14 Aug
@ Airbus UK
0–2
L
0.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barry Town and Ammanford AFC.
What is the prediction for Barry Town vs Ammanford AFC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Barry Town vs Ammanford AFC?
On our numbers Barry Town have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Ammanford AFC 11%.
How many goals will there be in Barry Town vs Ammanford AFC?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barry Town vs Ammanford AFC?
Our predicted score is Barry Town 2–1 Ammanford AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Barry Town vs Ammanford AFC?
Barry Town vs Ammanford AFC (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Jenner Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
