Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultColwyn Bay to win ✓65% · @1.30
Double chanceColwyn Bay or draw ✓87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.22
Holywell vs Colwyn Bay preview and prediction
The match
Holywell host Colwyn Bay in the Premier League on Tuesday 15 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT). Holywell are 16th with 2 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Colwyn Bay sit 4th on 32 points (in the top four). A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Holywell's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Cambrian & Clydach 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 3.3 conceded.
Colwyn Bay's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat GAP Connah S Quay FC 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Colwyn Bay arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 1.2 for Holywell and 2.7 for Colwyn Bay. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Holywell 13%, draw 22%, Colwyn Bay 65%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Holywell 1–2 Colwyn Bay. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Holywell13%fair 7.96 · @9.00
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @4.80
Colwyn Bay65%fair 1.53 · @1.30
3.88Expected goals
1.22Holywell xG
2.66Colwyn Bay xG
61%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
1–17%
0–36%
0–15%
From our goals model: Holywell 1.2 – 2.7 Colwyn Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colwyn Bay to win✓
65%
1.53
1.30
Double chance
Colwyn Bay or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.73 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Colwyn Bay ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colwyn Bay / FT Colwyn Bay✓
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.22
–
Form
Holywell – last 6
LDLLLL
11 Sep
@ Cambrian & Clydach
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs Trefelin
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Airbus UK
2–6
L
28 Aug
vs Caernarfon Town
3–5
L
21 Aug
vs Barry Town
1–3
L
14 Aug
@ Llandudno
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Colwyn Bay – last 6
WLWLWL
12 Sep
vs GAP Connah S Quay FC
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Penybont
0–1
L
31 Aug
vs Llandudno
2–0
W
28 Aug
@ The New Saints
1–5
L
21 Aug
vs Airbus UK
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Caernarfon Town
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Holywell and Colwyn Bay.
What is the prediction for Holywell vs Colwyn Bay?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Holywell vs Colwyn Bay?
On our numbers Holywell have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Colwyn Bay 65%.
How many goals will there be in Holywell vs Colwyn Bay?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Holywell vs Colwyn Bay?
Our predicted score is Holywell 1–2 Colwyn Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Holywell vs Colwyn Bay?
Holywell vs Colwyn Bay (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
