GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Airbus UK prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGAP Connah S Quay FC to win ✓61% · @1.44
Double chanceGAP Connah S Quay FC or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Airbus UK preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees GAP Connah S Quay FC take on Airbus UK on Tuesday 15 September, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Essity Stadium. GAP Connah S Quay FC are 2nd with 38 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Airbus UK sit 5th on 30 points (in the top half).
Form guide
GAP Connah S Quay FC's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Colwyn Bay 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Airbus UK's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to The New Saints 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
GAP Connah S Quay FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for GAP Connah S Quay FC and 1.0 for Airbus UK. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: GAP Connah S Quay FC 61%, draw 22%, Airbus UK 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: GAP Connah S Quay FC 2–1 Airbus UK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
GAP Connah S Quay FC61%fair 1.63 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @4.00
Airbus UK17%fair 5.87 · @5.80
3.13Expected goals
2.10GAP Connah S Quay FC xG
1.03Airbus UK xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: GAP Connah S Quay FC 2.1 – 1.0 Airbus UK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GAP Connah S Quay FC to win✓
61%
1.63
1.44
Double chance
GAP Connah S Quay FC or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
GAP Connah S Quay FC ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GAP Connah S Quay FC / FT GAP Connah S Quay FC✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Form
GAP Connah S Quay FC – last 6
LDWWWW
12 Sep
@ Colwyn Bay
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs Haverfordwest County AFC
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Flint Town United
2–1
W
28 Aug
vs Cambrian & Clydach
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Ammanford AFC
2–0
W
14 Aug
vs Trefelin
6–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Airbus UK – last 6
LWWLLW
11 Sep
vs The New Saints
0–2
L
4 Sep
@ Briton Ferry
2–0
W
31 Aug
vs Holywell
6–2
W
28 Aug
@ Barry Town
2–4
L
21 Aug
@ Colwyn Bay
0–1
L
14 Aug
vs Ammanford AFC
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between GAP Connah S Quay FC and Airbus UK.
What is the prediction for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Airbus UK?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Airbus UK?
On our numbers GAP Connah S Quay FC have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Airbus UK 17%.
How many goals will there be in GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Airbus UK?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Airbus UK?
Our predicted score is GAP Connah S Quay FC 2–1 Airbus UK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Airbus UK?
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Airbus UK (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Essity Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
