Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTrefelin to win ✗58% · @1.77
Double chanceTrefelin or draw ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC preview and prediction
The match
Trefelin host Ammanford AFC in the Premier League on Friday 28 August, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Ynys Park. Trefelin are 15th with 6 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Ammanford AFC sit 14th on 12 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Trefelin's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Caernarfon Town 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Ammanford AFC's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to GAP Connah S Quay FC 0–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Trefelin and 1.1 for Ammanford AFC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Trefelin 58%, draw 22%, Ammanford AFC 20%.
Safer route: Trefelin or draw (80%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Trefelin 1–1 Ammanford AFC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Trefelin58%fair 1.73 · @1.77
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.65
Ammanford AFC20%fair 4.94 · @3.80
3.04Expected goals
1.96Trefelin xG
1.08Ammanford AFC xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Trefelin 2.0 – 1.1 Ammanford AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trefelin to win✗
58%
1.73
1.77
Double chance
Trefelin or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Half-time result
Trefelin ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trefelin / FT Trefelin✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Form
Trefelin – last 6
LLLLWW
21 Aug
vs Caernarfon Town
0–2
L
14 Aug
@ GAP Connah S Quay FC
0–6
L
7 Aug
vs Llandudno
0–4
L
31 Jul
@ Colwyn Bay
0–2
L
3 Apr
vs Treowen Stars
6–0
W
30 Mar
@ Cwmbran Celtic
8–1
W
2.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ammanford AFC – last 6
LLDLWD
22 Aug
vs GAP Connah S Quay FC
0–2
L
14 Aug
@ Airbus UK
0–2
L
7 Aug
vs Colwyn Bay
2–2
D
31 Jul
@ Briton Ferry
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Newport City
4–0
W
24 Mar
vs Cambrian & Clydach
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trefelin and Ammanford AFC.
What is the prediction for Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC?
On our numbers Trefelin have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ammanford AFC 20%.
How many goals will there be in Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC?
Our predicted score is Trefelin 1–1 Ammanford AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC?
Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ynys Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
