Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultThe New Saints to win ✓73% · @1.25
Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✓91% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗16% · fair 6.28
The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay preview and prediction
The match
Colwyn Bay travel to Park Hall in the Premier League on Friday 28 August (19:45 WAT) to face The New Saints. The New Saints are 1st with 44 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Colwyn Bay sit 4th on 32 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
The New Saints's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Cardiff MET 5–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Colwyn Bay's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Airbus UK 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 March 2026, finished The New Saints 0–2 Colwyn Bay. Across their last 2 meetings The New Saints have won 1, Colwyn Bay 1, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for The New Saints and 0.5 for Colwyn Bay. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: The New Saints 73%, draw 17%, Colwyn Bay 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 51% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: The New Saints 2–0 Colwyn Bay. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
The New Saints73%fair 1.36 · @1.25
Draw17%fair 5.74 · @5.00
Colwyn Bay9%fair 10.97 · @9.75
2.56Expected goals
2.03The New Saints xG
0.53Colwyn Bay xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–016%
1–016%
3–011%
2–18%
1–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: The New Saints 2.0 – 0.5 Colwyn Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?
On our numbers The New Saints have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Colwyn Bay 9%.
How many goals will there be in The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?
Our predicted score is The New Saints 2–0 Colwyn Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?
The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Park Hall.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
