Holywell vs Caernarfon Town preview and prediction
The match
Caernarfon Town travel to face Holywell in the Premier League on Friday 28 August (19:45 WAT). Holywell are 16th with 2 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Caernarfon Town sit 6th on 29 points (in the top half). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Holywell's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Barry Town 1–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Caernarfon Town's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Trefelin 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Caernarfon Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.0 for Holywell and 2.6 for Caernarfon Town. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Holywell 11%, draw 20%, Caernarfon Town 69%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Holywell 1–2 Caernarfon Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Holywell11%fair 8.87 · @7.75
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @5.25
Caernarfon Town69%fair 1.46 · @1.28
3.62Expected goals
1.04Holywell xG
2.58Caernarfon Town xG
62%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
0–29%
1–38%
0–38%
1–17%
0–17%
From our goals model: Holywell 1.0 – 2.6 Caernarfon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caernarfon Town to win✓
69%
1.46
1.28
Double chance
Caernarfon Town or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.77
Half-time result
Caernarfon Town ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caernarfon Town / FT Caernarfon Town✓
48%
2.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.78
–
Form
Holywell – last 6
LLLLWL
21 Aug
vs Barry Town
1–3
L
14 Aug
@ Llandudno
1–3
L
7 Aug
vs GAP Connah S Quay FC
1–3
L
1 Aug
@ Cardiff MET
1–6
L
8 Apr
vs Newtown AFC
6–0
W
3 Apr
vs Airbus UK
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Caernarfon Town – last 6
WWLWLL
21 Aug
@ Trefelin
2–0
W
15 Aug
vs Colwyn Bay
3–0
W
7 Aug
vs Penybont
1–2
L
2 Aug
@ GAP Connah S Quay FC
2–1
W
16 Jul
@ FC Levadia Tallinn
0–5
L
9 Jul
vs FC Levadia Tallinn
0–5
L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Holywell and Caernarfon Town.
What is the prediction for Holywell vs Caernarfon Town?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Holywell vs Caernarfon Town?
On our numbers Holywell have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Caernarfon Town 69%.
How many goals will there be in Holywell vs Caernarfon Town?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Holywell vs Caernarfon Town?
Our predicted score is Holywell 1–2 Caernarfon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Holywell vs Caernarfon Town?
Holywell vs Caernarfon Town (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
