Value bet: Penybont to win @ 1.65 – our chance 66% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPenybont to win ✗66% · @1.65
Double chancePenybont or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.94
Penybont vs Flint Town United preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Penybont take on Flint Town United on Friday 28 August, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Bryntirion Park. Penybont are 3rd with 36 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Flint Town United sit 13th on 14 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Penybont's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Llandudno 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Flint Town United's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Briton Ferry 0–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Penybont arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Penybont and 0.8 for Flint Town United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Penybont 66%, draw 21%, Flint Town United 13%.
Safer route: Penybont or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Penybont to win at 1.65 – 66% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Penybont 2–0 Flint Town United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Penybont66%fair 1.52 · @1.65
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.75
Flint Town United13%fair 7.54 · @4.10
2.76Expected goals
1.99Penybont xG
0.77Flint Town United xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Penybont 2.0 – 0.8 Flint Town United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Penybont to win✗
66%
1.52
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Penybont or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.44
Half-time result
Penybont ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Penybont / FT Penybont✗
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.94
–
Form
Penybont – last 6
WWWDLL
21 Aug
vs Llandudno
2–1
W
14 Aug
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
3–0
W
7 Aug
@ Caernarfon Town
2–1
W
2 Aug
vs The New Saints
0–0
D
16 Jul
@ FC Santa Coloma
0–3
L
9 Jul
vs FC Santa Coloma
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Flint Town United – last 6
LLLLLW
21 Aug
vs Briton Ferry
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Cambrian & Clydach
0–1
L
7 Aug
vs Barry Town
2–3
L
31 Jul
@ Llandudno
2–3
L
3 Apr
vs Haverfordwest County AFC
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Bangor 1876
5–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Penybont and Flint Town United.
What is the prediction for Penybont vs Flint Town United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Penybont vs Flint Town United?
On our numbers Penybont have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Flint Town United 13%.
How many goals will there be in Penybont vs Flint Town United?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penybont vs Flint Town United?
Our predicted score is Penybont 2–0 Flint Town United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Penybont vs Flint Town United?
Penybont vs Flint Town United (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Bryntirion Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
