Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.61
Sporting CP vs Arouca preview and prediction
The match
Sporting CP host Arouca in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT). Sporting CP are 3rd with 24 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Arouca sit 5th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Sporting CP's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Famalicao 1–1 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Arouca's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Santa Clara 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sporting CP arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Sporting CP and 0.7 for Arouca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 47%.
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Sporting CP 2–0 Arouca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting CP71%fair 1.40 · @1.18
Draw15%fair 6.52 · @6.50
Arouca13%fair 7.55 · @13.00
2.83Expected goals
2.11Sporting CP xG
0.72Arouca xG
47%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sporting CP 2.1 – 0.7 Arouca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting CP to win✗
71%
1.40
1.18
Double chance
Sporting CP or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Sporting CP ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting CP / FT Sporting CP✗
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.61
–
Form
Sporting CP – last 6
DWWWWW
13 Sep
@ Famalicao
1–1
D
9 Sep
vs Galatasaray
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Nacional
2–0
W
28 Aug
@ Rio Ave
4–0
W
22 Aug
vs Alverca
3–1
W
14 Aug
vs Vitória SC
3–2
W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Arouca – last 6
LDWLWW
13 Sep
vs Santa Clara
1–2
L
7 Sep
@ Estoril
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Maritimo
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ FC Porto
0–2
L
16 Aug
vs Moreirense
4–0
W
8 Aug
@ Guimaraes
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting CP and Arouca.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Sporting CP vs Arouca?
On our numbers Sporting CP have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Arouca 13%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting CP vs Arouca?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting CP vs Arouca?
Our predicted score is Sporting CP 2–0 Arouca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sporting CP vs Arouca?
Sporting CP vs Arouca (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
