Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: GIL Vicente to win @ 1.91 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGIL Vicente to win ✗64% · @1.91
Double chanceGIL Vicente or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.23
GIL Vicente vs Maritimo preview and prediction
The match
GIL Vicente host Maritimo in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at Estadio Cidade de Barcelos. GIL Vicente are 7th with 18 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Maritimo sit 15th on 8 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
GIL Vicente's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Benfica 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Maritimo's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Moreirense 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for GIL Vicente and 0.7 for Maritimo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: GIL Vicente 64%, draw 21%, Maritimo 15%.
Safer route: GIL Vicente or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.00.
Value angle: GIL Vicente to win at 1.91 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was GIL Vicente or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: GIL Vicente 1–0 Maritimo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
GIL Vicente64%fair 1.57 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.25
Maritimo15%fair 6.60 · @3.90
2.36Expected goals
1.70GIL Vicente xG
0.66Maritimo xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: GIL Vicente 1.7 – 0.7 Maritimo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GIL Vicente to win✗
64%
1.57
1.91 ▲
Double chance
GIL Vicente or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GIL Vicente / FT GIL Vicente✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.23
–
Form
GIL Vicente – last 6
LLDWWD
13 Sep
@ Benfica
1–3
L
6 Sep
vs Academico Viseu
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ Famalicao
0–0
D
24 Aug
vs Casa Pia
2–0
W
9 Aug
vs Rio Ave
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Moreirense
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Maritimo – last 6
LLLDWW
14 Sep
@ Moreirense
1–3
L
5 Sep
vs Benfica
0–3
L
29 Aug
@ Arouca
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Academico Viseu
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ Famalicao
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Casa Pia
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between GIL Vicente and Maritimo.
What is the prediction for GIL Vicente vs Maritimo?
Our pick is GIL Vicente or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win GIL Vicente vs Maritimo?
On our numbers GIL Vicente have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Maritimo 15%.
How many goals will there be in GIL Vicente vs Maritimo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GIL Vicente vs Maritimo?
Our predicted score is GIL Vicente 1–0 Maritimo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is GIL Vicente vs Maritimo?
GIL Vicente vs Maritimo (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cidade de Barcelos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
