Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSC Braga to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chanceSC Braga or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.54
Alverca vs SC Braga preview and prediction
The match
The Primeira Liga sees Alverca take on SC Braga on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at FC Alverca Sports Complex. Alverca are 11th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while SC Braga sit 8th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Alverca's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Santa Clara 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
SC Braga's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Vitória SC 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
SC Braga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.8 for Alverca and 2.0 for SC Braga. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alverca 14%, draw 23%, SC Braga 63%.
Safer route: SC Braga or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was SC Braga to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Alverca 0–1 SC Braga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alverca14%fair 7.16 · @4.50
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.40
SC Braga63%fair 1.59 · @1.75
2.83Expected goals
0.85Alverca xG
1.98SC Braga xG
52%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
1–36%
From our goals model: Alverca 0.8 – 2.0 SC Braga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Braga to win✓
63%
1.59
1.75 ▲
Double chance
SC Braga or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
SC Braga ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SC Braga / FT SC Braga✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.54
–
Form
Alverca – last 6
DLDLWL
29 Aug
vs Santa Clara
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Sporting CP
1–3
L
15 Aug
vs Estrela
2–2
D
9 Aug
@ FC Porto
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Sporting CP B
1–0
W
25 Jul
@ Mafra
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
SC Braga – last 6
WDWDDW
31 Aug
vs Vitória SC
1–0
W
27 Aug
@ Austria Vienna
0–0
D
20 Aug
vs Austria Vienna
2–0
W
13 Aug
@ Dinamo Minsk
0–0
D
9 Aug
@ Moreirense
2–2
D
6 Aug
vs Dinamo Minsk
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alverca and SC Braga.
Our pick is SC Braga to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Alverca vs SC Braga?
On our numbers Alverca have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and SC Braga 63%.
How many goals will there be in Alverca vs SC Braga?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alverca vs SC Braga?
Our predicted score is Alverca 0–1 SC Braga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Alverca vs SC Braga?
Alverca vs SC Braga (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at FC Alverca Sports Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
