SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: SV Elversberg to win @ 3.25 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultSC Freiburg to win42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.45
SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg preview and prediction
The match
The Bundesliga sees SV Elversberg take on SC Freiburg on Saturday 21 November, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT) at Waldstadion Kaiserlinde. SV Elversberg are 7th with 13 points from 9 games (in the top half), while SC Freiburg sit 3rd on 19 points (in the top four).
Form guide
SV Elversberg's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Borussia Dortmund 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
SC Freiburg's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Union Berlin 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
SC Freiburg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.8 for SV Elversberg and 1.7 for SC Freiburg. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: SV Elversberg to win at 3.25 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: SV Elversberg 2–1 SC Freiburg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SV Elversberg35%fair 2.88 · @3.25
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.80
SC Freiburg42%fair 2.39 · @2.00
3.46Expected goals
1.75SV Elversberg xG
1.71SC Freiburg xG
65%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–15%
From our goals model: SV Elversberg 1.8 – 1.7 SC Freiburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
SV Elversberg
SC Freiburg
Attack vs Bundesliga average
+11%
+12%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
-17%
Our expected goals here
1.88
1.61
Our own ratings from every Bundesliga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Freiburg to win
42%
2.39
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
84%
1.18
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
65%
1.53
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
56%
1.80
1.67
Half-time result
Level at half-time
36%
2.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SV Elversberg / FT SV Elversberg
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
12.45
–
Form
SV Elversberg – last 6
LWLLWL
7 Nov
@ Borussia Dortmund
1–2
L
30 Oct
vs FSV Mainz 05
4–1
W
27 Oct
vs SV Darmstadt 98
0–2
L
24 Oct
@ RB Leipzig
0–4
L
17 Oct
vs FC Augsburg
4–3
W
10 Oct
@ Union Berlin
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
SC Freiburg – last 6
WWWWLL
8 Nov
vs Union Berlin
2–0
W
5 Nov
@ Trabzonspor
1–0
W
31 Oct
@ FC Augsburg
2–1
W
28 Oct
vs VfL Wolfsburg
3–2
W
25 Oct
vs Bayern München
1–3
L
22 Oct
@ Monaco
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SV Elversberg and SC Freiburg.
What is the prediction for SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg?
On our numbers SV Elversberg have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and SC Freiburg 42%.
How many goals will there be in SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg?
Our predicted score is SV Elversberg 2–1 SC Freiburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg?
SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Waldstadion Kaiserlinde.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
