Union Berlin host RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on Saturday 21 November, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT). Union Berlin are 16th with 7 points from 9 games (in the bottom three), while RB Leipzig sit 4th on 18 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Union Berlin's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to SC Freiburg 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
RB Leipzig's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat FC Augsburg 5–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
RB Leipzig arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 April 2026, finished RB Leipzig 3–1 Union Berlin.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.2 for Union Berlin and 2.3 for RB Leipzig. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 66%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Berlin 20%, draw 20%, RB Leipzig 60%.
Safer route: RB Leipzig or draw (80%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.53.
Prediction
Our prediction: Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Union Berlin 1–2 RB Leipzig. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Berlin20%fair 5.05 · @4.50
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @4.33
RB Leipzig60%fair 1.66 · @1.60
3.45Expected goals
1.20Union Berlin xG
2.26RB Leipzig xG
66%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
0–36%
From our goals model: Union Berlin 1.2 – 2.3 RB Leipzig expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
Attack vs Bundesliga average
-37%
+47%
Goals conceded vs average
+11%
-13%
Our expected goals here
1.12
2.15
Our own ratings from every Bundesliga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?
On our numbers Union Berlin have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and RB Leipzig 60%.
How many goals will there be in Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?
Our predicted score is Union Berlin 1–2 RB Leipzig, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?
Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
