Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Borussia Dortmund or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBorussia Dortmund to win58% · @1.65
Double chanceBorussia Dortmund or draw81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.17
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund preview and prediction
The match
Borussia Mönchengladbach host Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on Saturday 21 November, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at Borussia-Park. Borussia Mönchengladbach are 18th with 4 points from 9 games (in the bottom three), while Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd on 21 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Borussia Mönchengladbach's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Hamburger SV 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Borussia Dortmund's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat SV Elversberg 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Borussia Dortmund arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.2 for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 2.0 for Borussia Dortmund. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Borussia Dortmund or draw (81%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.50.
Prediction
The Footrivo pick: Borussia Dortmund or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 Borussia Dortmund. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Borussia Mönchengladbach19%fair 5.21 · @4.33
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @4.10
Borussia Dortmund58%fair 1.73 · @1.65
3.18Expected goals
1.16Borussia Mönchengladbach xG
2.02Borussia Dortmund xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–110%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.2 – 2.0 Borussia Dortmund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Dortmund
Attack vs Bundesliga average
-13%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
+37%
-36%
Our expected goals here
1.13
1.86
Our own ratings from every Bundesliga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Borussia Dortmund to win
58%
1.73
1.65
Double chance
Borussia Dortmund or draw
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
83%
1.21
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
63%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
58%
1.73
1.73
Half-time result
Borussia Dortmund ahead at half-time
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Borussia Dortmund / FT Borussia Dortmund
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.17
–
Form
Borussia Mönchengladbach – last 6
LDWWLL
6 Nov
@ Hamburger SV
1–3
L
31 Oct
vs SC Paderborn 07
0–0
D
27 Oct
vs Karlsruher SC
2–0
W
23 Oct
@ VfB Stuttgart
3–2
W
18 Oct
vs 1899 Hoffenheim
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ 1. FC Köln
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Borussia Dortmund – last 6
WWDWWW
7 Nov
vs SV Elversberg
2–1
W
4 Nov
vs Real Betis
2–1
W
31 Oct
@ Bayern München
2–2
D
27 Oct
vs Werder Bremen
3–2
W
24 Oct
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
1–0
W
20 Oct
@ Sabah FA
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Borussia Mönchengladbach and Borussia Dortmund.
What is the prediction for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?
Our pick is Borussia Dortmund or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?
On our numbers Borussia Mönchengladbach have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Borussia Dortmund 58%.
How many goals will there be in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?
Our predicted score is Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 Borussia Dortmund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Borussia-Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
