Value bet: Werder Bremen to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Result1. FC Köln to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓72% · @1.50
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6% · fair 16.21
1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen preview and prediction
The match
1. FC Köln host Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at RheinEnergieStadion. 1. FC Köln are 15th with 9 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Werder Bremen sit 6th on 15 points (in the top half).
Form guide
1. FC Köln's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to VfB Stuttgart 1–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Werder Bremen's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat RB Leipzig 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.8 goals: 2.5 for 1. FC Köln and 2.2 for Werder Bremen. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 85% and both teams to score at 72%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Werder Bremen to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 72% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.39, so there is value in it. Predicted score: 1. FC Köln 2–2 Werder Bremen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
1. FC Köln46%fair 2.19 · @2.05
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.60
Werder Bremen34%fair 2.95 · @3.20
4.75Expected goals
2.541. FC Köln xG
2.21Werder Bremen xG
72%Both score
85%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
2–16%
3–26%
1–25%
3–15%
2–35%
From our goals model: 1. FC Köln 2.5 – 2.2 Werder Bremen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
1. FC Köln to win✗
46%
2.19
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
72%
1.39
1.50 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
1. FC Köln ahead at half-time✓
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT 1. FC Köln / FT 1. FC Köln✗
30%
3.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
6%
16.21
–
Form
1. FC Köln – last 6
LWWWDW
4 Sep
@ VfB Stuttgart
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs 1899 Hoffenheim
3–2
W
24 Aug
@ Würzburger Kickers
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Real Sociedad
2–1
W
31 Jul
vs Hertha BSC
2–2
D
23 Jul
@ Bergisch Gladbach
8–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Werder Bremen – last 6
WLWLDW
5 Sep
vs RB Leipzig
3–1
W
30 Aug
@ SC Freiburg
1–4
L
22 Aug
@ Lüneburger SK Hansa
3–0
W
15 Aug
vs Auxerre
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs SC Paderborn 07
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ Energie Cottbus
4–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between 1. FC Köln and Werder Bremen.
What is the prediction for 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen?
On our numbers 1. FC Köln have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Werder Bremen 34%.
How many goals will there be in 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen?
We expect about 4.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 85% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen?
Our predicted score is 1. FC Köln 2–2 Werder Bremen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.8 goals in total.
When is 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen?
1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at RheinEnergieStadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
