FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
FSV Mainz 05 or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: FSV Mainz 05 to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFSV Mainz 05 to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceFSV Mainz 05 or draw ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.72
FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt preview and prediction
The match
Eintracht Frankfurt travel to Mewa Arena in the Bundesliga on Saturday 12 September (14:30 WAT) to face FSV Mainz 05. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th with 10 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Eintracht Frankfurt sit 10th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FSV Mainz 05's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Hamburger SV 5–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to FC Augsburg 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 3.7 goals a game.
FSV Mainz 05 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.5 for FSV Mainz 05 and 1.5 for Eintracht Frankfurt. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 70%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: FSV Mainz 05 to win at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FSV Mainz 05 or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.27, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FSV Mainz 0556%fair 1.79 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.70
Eintracht Frankfurt21%fair 4.73 · @3.30
4.00Expected goals
2.46FSV Mainz 05 xG
1.54Eintracht Frankfurt xG
70%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–27%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: FSV Mainz 05 2.5 – 1.5 Eintracht Frankfurt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Our pick is FSV Mainz 05 or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
On our numbers FSV Mainz 05 have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Eintracht Frankfurt 21%.
How many goals will there be in FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Our predicted score is FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Mewa Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
