SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
SC Freiburg or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: SC Freiburg to win @ 1.67 – our chance 67% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSC Freiburg to win ✓67% · @1.67
Double chanceSC Freiburg or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.55
SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach preview and prediction
The match
Borussia Mönchengladbach travel to Europa-Park Stadion in the Bundesliga on Saturday 12 September (14:30 WAT) to face SC Freiburg. SC Freiburg are 3rd with 19 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 18th on 4 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
SC Freiburg's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat SC Paderborn 07 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game.
Borussia Mönchengladbach's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to SV Elversberg 3–4 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 3.5 per game.
SC Freiburg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished SC Freiburg 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.7 for SC Freiburg and 1.3 for Borussia Mönchengladbach. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: SC Freiburg to win at 1.67 – 67% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was SC Freiburg or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: SC Freiburg 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SC Freiburg67%fair 1.48 · @1.67
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @3.90
Borussia Mönchengladbach14%fair 7.32 · @4.33
4.00Expected goals
2.75SC Freiburg xG
1.25Borussia Mönchengladbach xG
63%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
3–06%
1–16%
4–15%
From our goals model: SC Freiburg 2.7 – 1.3 Borussia Mönchengladbach expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Our pick is SC Freiburg or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
On our numbers SC Freiburg have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Borussia Mönchengladbach 14%.
How many goals will there be in SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Our predicted score is SC Freiburg 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Europa-Park Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
