Double chanceBorussia Dortmund or draw ✓91% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.50
Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 preview and prediction
The match
SC Paderborn 07 travel to Signal Iduna Park in the Bundesliga on Saturday 12 September (14:30 WAT) to face Borussia Dortmund. Borussia Dortmund are 2nd with 21 points from 9 games (in the top four), while SC Paderborn 07 sit 13th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Borussia Dortmund's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Villarreal 3–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
SC Paderborn 07's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to SC Freiburg 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Borussia Dortmund arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.6 for Borussia Dortmund and 0.4 for SC Paderborn 07. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Borussia Dortmund to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Borussia Dortmund 1–0 SC Paderborn 07. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Borussia Dortmund71%fair 1.40 · @1.22
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @6.00
SC Paderborn 079%fair 10.82 · @9.50
2.00Expected goals
1.64Borussia Dortmund xG
0.36SC Paderborn 07 xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
2–018%
0–014%
3–010%
1–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Borussia Dortmund 1.6 – 0.4 SC Paderborn 07 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Borussia Dortmund to win✓
71%
1.40
1.22
Double chance
Borussia Dortmund or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Borussia Dortmund / FT Borussia Dortmund✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.50
–
Form
Borussia Dortmund – last 6
WWWWLD
8 Sep
vs Villarreal
3–2
W
5 Sep
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
3–2
W
1 Sep
@ HEBC
5–0
W
29 Aug
vs Hamburger SV
2–0
W
22 Aug
vs Bayern München
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs AS Roma
2–2
D
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
SC Paderborn 07 – last 6
LDWDWD
5 Sep
vs SC Freiburg
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ FSV Mainz 05
0–0
D
23 Aug
@ Phönix Lübeck
4–2
W
8 Aug
@ Werder Bremen
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ VfL Osnabrück
2–0
W
25 May
vs VfL Wolfsburg
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Borussia Dortmund and SC Paderborn 07.
What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07?
Our pick is Borussia Dortmund to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07?
On our numbers Borussia Dortmund have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and SC Paderborn 07 9%.
How many goals will there be in Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07?
Our predicted score is Borussia Dortmund 1–0 SC Paderborn 07, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07?
Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Signal Iduna Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
