Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
2
Value bet: La Roche VF to win @ 2.20 – our chance 49% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLa Roche VF to win ✗49% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.58
Villefranche vs La Roche VF preview and prediction
The match
The National 1 sees Villefranche take on La Roche VF on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 13:45 (WAT) at Stade Armand Chouffet. Villefranche are 16th with 8 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while La Roche VF sit 1st on 27 points (top of the table). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Villefranche's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Fleury 91 1–6 away. They average 1.2 scored and 3.0 conceded.
La Roche VF's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Quevilly 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
La Roche VF arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.2 for Villefranche and 1.7 for La Roche VF. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Villefranche 29%, draw 22%, La Roche VF 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.73.
Value angle: La Roche VF to win at 2.20 – 49% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Villefranche 1–1 La Roche VF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Villefranche29%fair 3.46 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.00
La Roche VF49%fair 2.05 · @2.20
2.90Expected goals
1.23Villefranche xG
1.67La Roche VF xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Villefranche 1.2 – 1.7 La Roche VF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
La Roche VF to win✗
49%
2.05
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.73 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT La Roche VF / FT La Roche VF✗
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.58
–
Form
Villefranche – last 6
LLLWLL
5 Sep
@ Fleury 91
1–6
L
29 Aug
vs Rouen
0–2
L
20 Aug
@ Concarneau
0–2
L
14 Aug
vs Gobelins
2–0
W
7 Aug
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
2–3
L
15 Jul
@ Grenoble
2–5
L
1.2Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
La Roche VF – last 6
DWDWWD
5 Sep
vs Quevilly
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Orleans
1–0
W
20 Aug
vs Cannes
1–1
D
14 Aug
@ Amiens
1–0
W
7 Aug
vs Versailles
3–2
W
22 Jul
@ Nantes
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villefranche and La Roche VF.
What is the prediction for Villefranche vs La Roche VF?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Villefranche vs La Roche VF?
On our numbers Villefranche have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and La Roche VF 49%.
How many goals will there be in Villefranche vs La Roche VF?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villefranche vs La Roche VF?
Our predicted score is Villefranche 1–1 La Roche VF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Villefranche vs La Roche VF?
Villefranche vs La Roche VF (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Armand Chouffet.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
