Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Bastia preview and prediction
The match
The National 1 sees Bourg-en-bresse 01 take on Bastia on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 13:45 (WAT) at Stade Marcel-Verchere. Bourg-en-bresse 01 are 18th with 6 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Bastia sit 13th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Bourg-en-bresse 01's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Caen 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Bastia's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Amiens 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Bastia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Bourg-en-bresse 01 and 1.4 for Bastia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Bourg-en-bresse 01 1–1 Bastia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bourg-en-bresse 0130%fair 3.36 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.00
Bastia48%fair 2.09 · @2.10
2.50Expected goals
1.06Bourg-en-bresse 01 xG
1.44Bastia xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–29%
0–08%
From our goals model: Bourg-en-bresse 01 1.1 – 1.4 Bastia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bastia to win✓
48%
2.09
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bastia / FT Bastia✓
27%
3.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
12%
8.46
–
Form
Bourg-en-bresse 01 – last 6
LLLLWL
5 Sep
vs Caen
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Aubagne
0–2
L
20 Aug
vs Thionville Lusitanos
0–2
L
14 Aug
@ Valenciennes
0–2
L
7 Aug
vs Villefranche
3–2
W
22 Jul
vs Dijon
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bastia – last 6
LWLWLL
5 Sep
vs Amiens
0–3
L
27 Aug
@ Caen
1–0
W
20 Aug
vs Versailles
2–3
L
14 Aug
@ Aubagne
1–0
W
7 Aug
vs Le Puy Foot
0–2
L
10 Jul
@ Rodez
3–5
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bourg-en-bresse 01 and Bastia.
What is the prediction for Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Bastia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Bastia?
On our numbers Bourg-en-bresse 01 have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bastia 48%.
How many goals will there be in Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Bastia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Bastia?
Our predicted score is Bourg-en-bresse 01 1–1 Bastia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Bastia?
Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Bastia (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Marcel-Verchere.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
