Thionville Lusitanos vs Rouen prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRouen to win ✓47% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Thionville Lusitanos vs Rouen preview and prediction
The match
Thionville Lusitanos host Rouen in the National 1 on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 13:45 (WAT) at Stadium Plaine. Thionville Lusitanos are 11th with 16 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Rouen sit 2nd on 26 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Thionville Lusitanos's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Concarneau 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Rouen's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Valenciennes 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Thionville Lusitanos and 1.6 for Rouen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 60%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Thionville Lusitanos 1–1 Rouen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Thionville Lusitanos32%fair 3.16 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.20
Rouen47%fair 2.11 · @2.05
2.80Expected goals
1.23Thionville Lusitanos xG
1.57Rouen xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Thionville Lusitanos 1.2 – 1.6 Rouen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rouen to win✓
47%
2.11
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rouen / FT Rouen✓
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.45
–
Form
Thionville Lusitanos – last 6
DDWWWD
5 Sep
@ Concarneau
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Gobelins
1–1
D
20 Aug
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
2–0
W
14 Aug
vs Caen
4–3
W
7 Aug
@ Aubagne
3–0
W
18 Jul
vs Nancy
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rouen – last 6
DWWWDW
3 Sep
vs Valenciennes
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Villefranche
2–0
W
20 Aug
vs Quevilly
3–0
W
14 Aug
@ Orleans
2–1
W
7 Aug
vs Cannes
0–0
D
28 Jul
vs Al Wakrah
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thionville Lusitanos and Rouen.
What is the prediction for Thionville Lusitanos vs Rouen?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Thionville Lusitanos vs Rouen?
On our numbers Thionville Lusitanos have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Rouen 47%.
How many goals will there be in Thionville Lusitanos vs Rouen?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thionville Lusitanos vs Rouen?
Our predicted score is Thionville Lusitanos 1–1 Rouen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Thionville Lusitanos vs Rouen?
Thionville Lusitanos vs Rouen (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadium Plaine.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
