Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: La Roche VF to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLa Roche VF to win ✗64% · @1.80
Double chanceLa Roche VF or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.65
La Roche VF vs Quevilly preview and prediction
The match
La Roche VF host Quevilly in the National 1 on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 13:45 (WAT). La Roche VF are 1st with 27 points from 12 games (top of the table), while Quevilly sit 10th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
La Roche VF's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Orleans 1–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Quevilly's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Fleury 91 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
La Roche VF arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for La Roche VF and 0.6 for Quevilly. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: La Roche VF 64%, draw 23%, Quevilly 12%.
Safer route: La Roche VF or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.80.
Value angle: La Roche VF to win at 1.80 – 64% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was La Roche VF or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: La Roche VF 1–0 Quevilly. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
La Roche VF64%fair 1.55 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10
Quevilly12%fair 8.12 · @3.90
2.25Expected goals
1.68La Roche VF xG
0.57Quevilly xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: La Roche VF 1.7 – 0.6 Quevilly expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
La Roche VF to win✗
64%
1.55
1.80 ▲
Double chance
La Roche VF or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT La Roche VF / FT La Roche VF✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.65
–
Form
La Roche VF – last 6
WDWWDW
29 Aug
@ Orleans
1–0
W
20 Aug
vs Cannes
1–1
D
14 Aug
@ Amiens
1–0
W
7 Aug
vs Versailles
3–2
W
22 Jul
@ Nantes
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Le Mans
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Quevilly – last 6
WLDLWL
29 Aug
vs Fleury 91
2–1
W
20 Aug
@ Rouen
0–3
L
14 Aug
vs Concarneau
1–1
D
7 Aug
@ Gobelins
0–1
L
31 Jul
vs Oissel
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ Amiens
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between La Roche VF and Quevilly.
What is the prediction for La Roche VF vs Quevilly?
Our pick is La Roche VF or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win La Roche VF vs Quevilly?
On our numbers La Roche VF have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Quevilly 12%.
How many goals will there be in La Roche VF vs Quevilly?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for La Roche VF vs Quevilly?
Our predicted score is La Roche VF 1–0 Quevilly, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is La Roche VF vs Quevilly?
La Roche VF vs Quevilly (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
