Value bet: Concarneau to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultValenciennes to win ✗38% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.68
Valenciennes vs Concarneau preview and prediction
The match
Concarneau travel to Stade du Hainaut in the National 1 on Saturday 29 August (13:45 WAT) to face Valenciennes. Valenciennes are 15th with 10 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Concarneau sit 6th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Valenciennes's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Gobelins 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Concarneau's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Villefranche 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Concarneau arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 March 2026, finished Concarneau 1–2 Valenciennes.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Valenciennes and 1.2 for Concarneau. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Concarneau to win at 3.00 – 37% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Valenciennes 1–1 Concarneau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valenciennes38%fair 2.66 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.00
Concarneau37%fair 2.69 · @3.00
2.49Expected goals
1.25Valenciennes xG
1.24Concarneau xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Valenciennes 1.3 – 1.2 Concarneau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Valenciennes vs Concarneau?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Valenciennes vs Concarneau?
On our numbers Valenciennes have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Concarneau 37%.
How many goals will there be in Valenciennes vs Concarneau?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valenciennes vs Concarneau?
Our predicted score is Valenciennes 1–1 Concarneau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Valenciennes vs Concarneau?
Valenciennes vs Concarneau (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade du Hainaut.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
