Value bet: La Roche VF to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrleans to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.91
Orleans vs La Roche VF preview and prediction
The match
La Roche VF travel to Stade de la Source in the National 1 on Saturday 29 August (13:45 WAT) to face Orleans. Orleans are 14th with 11 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while La Roche VF sit 1st on 27 points (top of the table). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Orleans's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Fleury 91 2–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
La Roche VF's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Cannes 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
La Roche VF arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Orleans and 1.1 for La Roche VF. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Orleans 44%, draw 22%, La Roche VF 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Value angle: La Roche VF to win at 3.30 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Orleans 1–1 La Roche VF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orleans44%fair 2.25 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.00
La Roche VF33%fair 3.01 · @3.30
2.50Expected goals
1.37Orleans xG
1.13La Roche VF xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Orleans 1.4 – 1.1 La Roche VF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orleans to win✗
44%
2.25
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orleans / FT Orleans✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.91
–
Form
Orleans – last 6
WLWWLL
20 Aug
@ Fleury 91
2–0
W
14 Aug
vs Rouen
1–2
L
7 Aug
@ Concarneau
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ Auxerre
2–1
W
21 Jul
@ RED Star FC 93
2–3
L
11 Jul
@ Clermont Foot
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
La Roche VF – last 6
DWWDWD
20 Aug
vs Cannes
1–1
D
14 Aug
@ Amiens
1–0
W
7 Aug
vs Versailles
3–2
W
22 Jul
@ Nantes
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Le Mans
3–2
W
17 Apr
vs Angoulême
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orleans and La Roche VF.
What is the prediction for Orleans vs La Roche VF?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Orleans vs La Roche VF?
On our numbers Orleans have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and La Roche VF 33%.
How many goals will there be in Orleans vs La Roche VF?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orleans vs La Roche VF?
Our predicted score is Orleans 1–1 La Roche VF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Orleans vs La Roche VF?
Orleans vs La Roche VF (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Source.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
