Thionville Lusitanos vs Gobelins prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Thionville Lusitanos or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Thionville Lusitanos to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultThionville Lusitanos to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceThionville Lusitanos or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.74
Thionville Lusitanos vs Gobelins preview and prediction
The match
Gobelins travel to Stadium Plaine in the National 1 on Saturday 29 August (13:45 WAT) to face Thionville Lusitanos. Thionville Lusitanos are 11th with 16 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Gobelins sit 9th on 16 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Thionville Lusitanos's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Bourg-en-bresse 01 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gobelins's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Valenciennes 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Thionville Lusitanos and 0.9 for Gobelins. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%.
Safer route: Thionville Lusitanos or draw (81%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Thionville Lusitanos to win at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Thionville Lusitanos or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Thionville Lusitanos 1–0 Gobelins. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Thionville Lusitanos59%fair 1.70 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.40
Gobelins19%fair 5.38 · @3.70
2.60Expected goals
1.75Thionville Lusitanos xG
0.86Gobelins xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Thionville Lusitanos 1.7 – 0.9 Gobelins expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Thionville Lusitanos to win✗
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Thionville Lusitanos or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Thionville Lusitanos / FT Thionville Lusitanos✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.74
–
Form
Thionville Lusitanos – last 6
WWWDWD
20 Aug
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
2–0
W
14 Aug
vs Caen
4–3
W
7 Aug
@ Aubagne
3–0
W
18 Jul
vs Nancy
2–2
D
11 Jul
@ Progres Niederkorn
5–0
W
29 Mar
vs Beauvais
1–1
D
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gobelins – last 6
WLWWWD
20 Aug
vs Valenciennes
2–1
W
14 Aug
@ Villefranche
0–2
L
7 Aug
vs Quevilly
1–0
W
15 Jul
@ Caen
4–3
W
11 Jul
@ Amiens
4–2
W
30 Apr
@ Concarneau
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thionville Lusitanos and Gobelins.
What is the prediction for Thionville Lusitanos vs Gobelins?
Our pick is Thionville Lusitanos or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Thionville Lusitanos vs Gobelins?
On our numbers Thionville Lusitanos have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gobelins 19%.
How many goals will there be in Thionville Lusitanos vs Gobelins?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thionville Lusitanos vs Gobelins?
Our predicted score is Thionville Lusitanos 1–0 Gobelins, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Thionville Lusitanos vs Gobelins?
Thionville Lusitanos vs Gobelins (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadium Plaine.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
