Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 preview and prediction
The match
The National 1 sees Aubagne take on Bourg-en-bresse 01 on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 13:45 (WAT) at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny. Aubagne are 17th with 7 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Bourg-en-bresse 01 sit 18th on 6 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Aubagne's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Caen 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Bourg-en-bresse 01's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Thionville Lusitanos 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Bourg-en-bresse 01 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.7 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 February 2026, finished Aubagne 1–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Aubagne and 1.1 for Bourg-en-bresse 01. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Aubagne 1–1 Bourg-en-bresse 01. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aubagne45%fair 2.23 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.95
Bourg-en-bresse 0132%fair 3.16 · @3.10
2.39Expected goals
1.33Aubagne xG
1.06Bourg-en-bresse 01 xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Aubagne 1.3 – 1.1 Bourg-en-bresse 01 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
On our numbers Aubagne have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bourg-en-bresse 01 32%.
How many goals will there be in Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
Our predicted score is Aubagne 1–1 Bourg-en-bresse 01, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
