Valenciennes vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Valenciennes or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 57% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultValenciennes to win ✓59% · @1.95
Double chanceValenciennes or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.47
Valenciennes vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 preview and prediction
The match
The National 1 sees Valenciennes take on Bourg-en-bresse 01 on Friday 14 August, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stade du Hainaut. Valenciennes are 15th with 10 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Bourg-en-bresse 01 sit 18th on 6 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Valenciennes's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Caen 0–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Bourg-en-bresse 01's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Villefranche 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.3 for Valenciennes and 1.2 for Bourg-en-bresse 01. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 62%.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 2.00 – 57% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Valenciennes or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Valenciennes 2–1 Bourg-en-bresse 01. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valenciennes59%fair 1.71 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.20
Bourg-en-bresse 0117%fair 5.88 · @3.60
3.51Expected goals
2.29Valenciennes xG
1.23Bourg-en-bresse 01 xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Valenciennes 2.3 – 1.2 Bourg-en-bresse 01 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valenciennes to win✓
59%
1.71
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Valenciennes or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.25
Half-time result
Valenciennes ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valenciennes / FT Valenciennes✓
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.47
–
Form
Valenciennes – last 6
LDWDLL
7 Aug
@ Caen
0–4
L
31 Jul
vs Boulogne
1–1
D
22 Jul
@ Eastleigh
3–0
W
18 Jul
@ Kortrijk
1–1
D
24 Apr
vs Dijon
0–1
L
17 Apr
@ Fleury 91
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bourg-en-bresse 01 – last 6
WLDLLL
7 Aug
vs Villefranche
3–2
W
22 Jul
vs Dijon
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Grenoble
0–0
D
24 Apr
@ Sochaux
1–2
L
17 Apr
vs Caen
0–2
L
10 Apr
@ Dijon
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valenciennes and Bourg-en-bresse 01.
What is the prediction for Valenciennes vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
Our pick is Valenciennes or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Valenciennes vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
On our numbers Valenciennes have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bourg-en-bresse 01 17%.
How many goals will there be in Valenciennes vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valenciennes vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
Our predicted score is Valenciennes 2–1 Bourg-en-bresse 01, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Valenciennes vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
Valenciennes vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 (National 1) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade du Hainaut.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
