Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrleans to win ✗39% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.55
Orleans vs Rouen preview and prediction
The match
Orleans host Rouen in the National 1 on Friday 14 August, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stade de la Source. Orleans are 14th with 11 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Rouen sit 2nd on 26 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Orleans's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Concarneau 2–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Rouen's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Cannes 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rouen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Orleans and 0.9 for Rouen. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Orleans 39%, draw 24%, Rouen 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.75 – 64% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Orleans 0–0 Rouen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orleans39%fair 2.60 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.10
Rouen37%fair 2.68 · @2.55
1.77Expected goals
0.90Orleans xG
0.87Rouen xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
1–015%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Orleans 0.9 – 0.9 Rouen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orleans to win✗
39%
2.60
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.75 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.55
–
Form
Orleans – last 6
WWLLDL
7 Aug
@ Concarneau
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ Auxerre
2–1
W
21 Jul
@ RED Star FC 93
2–3
L
11 Jul
@ Clermont Foot
0–1
L
1 May
@ Versailles
0–0
D
24 Apr
vs Quevilly
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rouen – last 6
DWWLDW
7 Aug
vs Cannes
0–0
D
28 Jul
vs Al Wakrah
1–0
W
25 Jul
@ Boulogne
1–0
W
24 May
@ Laval
0–1
L
19 May
vs Laval
1–1
D
24 Apr
vs Aubagne
3–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orleans and Rouen.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Orleans vs Rouen?
On our numbers Orleans have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rouen 37%.
How many goals will there be in Orleans vs Rouen?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orleans vs Rouen?
Our predicted score is Orleans 0–0 Rouen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Orleans vs Rouen?
Orleans vs Rouen (National 1) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Source.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
