Real Valladolid II vs Calvo Sotelo prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Real Valladolid II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Real Valladolid II to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Valladolid II to win ✓64% · @1.73
Double chanceReal Valladolid II or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.08
Real Valladolid II vs Calvo Sotelo preview and prediction
The match
Real Valladolid II host Calvo Sotelo in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 4 October, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT). Real Valladolid II are 6th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Calvo Sotelo sit 18th on 6 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Real Valladolid II's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to CF Talavera 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Calvo Sotelo's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Atlético Tordesillas 1–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Real Valladolid II and 0.7 for Calvo Sotelo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Valladolid II 64%, draw 22%, Calvo Sotelo 14%.
Safer route: Real Valladolid II or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Real Valladolid II to win at 1.73 – 64% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Real Valladolid II or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Real Valladolid II 1–0 Calvo Sotelo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Valladolid II64%fair 1.57 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.60
Calvo Sotelo14%fair 6.97 · @3.90
2.38Expected goals
1.72Real Valladolid II xG
0.66Calvo Sotelo xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Real Valladolid II 1.7 – 0.7 Calvo Sotelo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Valladolid II to win✓
64%
1.57
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Real Valladolid II or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Real Valladolid II ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Valladolid II / FT Real Valladolid II✓
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.08
–
Form
Real Valladolid II – last 6
LWLWDW
27 Sep
@ CF Talavera
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Albacete II
6–1
W
12 Sep
@ SS Reyes
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Navalcarnero
1–0
W
12 Aug
vs Leganés II
3–3
D
3 May
vs Burgos Promesas
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Calvo Sotelo – last 6
WLDLWW
27 Sep
vs Atlético Tordesillas
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Real Ávila
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Atlético Paso
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Gimnástica Segoviana
0–3
L
2 Apr
@ Marchamalo
3–1
W
15 Mar
vs Tarancón
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Valladolid II and Calvo Sotelo.
What is the prediction for Real Valladolid II vs Calvo Sotelo?
Our pick is Real Valladolid II or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Real Valladolid II vs Calvo Sotelo?
On our numbers Real Valladolid II have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Calvo Sotelo 14%.
How many goals will there be in Real Valladolid II vs Calvo Sotelo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Valladolid II vs Calvo Sotelo?
Our predicted score is Real Valladolid II 1–0 Calvo Sotelo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Real Valladolid II vs Calvo Sotelo?
Real Valladolid II vs Calvo Sotelo (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
