Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRSD Alcalá to win ✗47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.26
RSD Alcalá vs Navalcarnero preview and prediction
The match
RSD Alcalá host Navalcarnero in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 4 October, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT). RSD Alcalá are 13th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Navalcarnero sit 7th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
RSD Alcalá's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Salamanca UDS 0–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Navalcarnero's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Real Murcia 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Navalcarnero arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished RSD Alcalá 1–0 Navalcarnero.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.9 for RSD Alcalá and 1.6 for Navalcarnero. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: RSD Alcalá 1–1 Navalcarnero. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
RSD Alcalá47%fair 2.11 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.30
Navalcarnero32%fair 3.16 · @3.25
3.50Expected goals
1.94RSD Alcalá xG
1.56Navalcarnero xG
62%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: RSD Alcalá 1.9 – 1.6 Navalcarnero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for RSD Alcalá vs Navalcarnero?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win RSD Alcalá vs Navalcarnero?
On our numbers RSD Alcalá have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Navalcarnero 32%.
How many goals will there be in RSD Alcalá vs Navalcarnero?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for RSD Alcalá vs Navalcarnero?
Our predicted score is RSD Alcalá 1–1 Navalcarnero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is RSD Alcalá vs Navalcarnero?
RSD Alcalá vs Navalcarnero (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
