Value bet: Real Ávila to win @ 3.70 – our chance 30% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSS Reyes to win ✓47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.82
SS Reyes vs Real Ávila preview and prediction
The match
Real Ávila travel to face SS Reyes in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 4 October (11:00 WAT). SS Reyes are 3rd with 19 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Real Ávila sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
SS Reyes's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Gimnástica Segoviana 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Real Ávila's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Getafe II 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for SS Reyes and 0.9 for Real Ávila. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: SS Reyes 47%, draw 24%, Real Ávila 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Real Ávila to win at 3.70 – 30% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.86, so there is value in it. Predicted score: SS Reyes 1–1 Real Ávila. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SS Reyes47%fair 2.14 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.90
Real Ávila30%fair 3.37 · @3.70
2.13Expected goals
1.23SS Reyes xG
0.90Real Ávila xG
54%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: SS Reyes 1.2 – 0.9 Real Ávila expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SS Reyes to win✓
47%
2.14
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SS Reyes / FT SS Reyes✓
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.82
–
Form
SS Reyes – last 6
LDWWLW
26 Sep
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Numancia
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Real Valladolid II
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Atlético Tordesillas
3–1
W
22 Aug
vs Atlético Baleares
0–3
L
30 May
vs UD Logroñés
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Real Ávila – last 6
WWLLWW
27 Sep
vs Getafe II
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Calvo Sotelo
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Navalcarnero
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ A Madrid III
1–2
L
12 Aug
@ Atlético Tordesillas
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SS Reyes and Real Ávila.
What is the prediction for SS Reyes vs Real Ávila?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win SS Reyes vs Real Ávila?
On our numbers SS Reyes have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Ávila 30%.
How many goals will there be in SS Reyes vs Real Ávila?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SS Reyes vs Real Ávila?
Our predicted score is SS Reyes 1–1 Real Ávila, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is SS Reyes vs Real Ávila?
SS Reyes vs Real Ávila (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
