Real Valladolid II vs Navalcarnero prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Real Valladolid II to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Valladolid II to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · fair 1.16
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 9.09
Real Valladolid II vs Navalcarnero preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 5 sees Real Valladolid II take on Navalcarnero on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT). Real Valladolid II are 6th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Navalcarnero sit 7th on 16 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Real Valladolid II's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Leganés II 3–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Navalcarnero's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Fuenlabrada 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Real Valladolid II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Real Valladolid II and 1.0 for Navalcarnero. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Valladolid II 60%, draw 14%, Navalcarnero 26%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Real Valladolid II to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Real Valladolid II 1–0 Navalcarnero. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Valladolid II60%fair 1.66 · @1.95
Draw14%fair 7.13 · @3.50
Navalcarnero26%fair 3.87 · @3.10
2.78Expected goals
1.78Real Valladolid II xG
1.00Navalcarnero xG
49%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–16%
0–06%
From our goals model: Real Valladolid II 1.8 – 1.0 Navalcarnero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Valladolid II to win✓
60%
1.66
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Valladolid II / FT Real Valladolid II✓
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
9.09
–
Form
Real Valladolid II – last 6
DWWWLW
12 Aug
vs Leganés II
3–3
D
3 May
vs Burgos Promesas
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Deportivo La Coruña II
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Langreo
3–0
W
5 Apr
vs Bergantiños
3–4
L
29 Mar
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Navalcarnero – last 6
WDWLLL
3 May
vs Fuenlabrada
3–1
W
26 Apr
@ Colonia Moscardó
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Conquense
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Rayo Majadahonda
2–3
L
29 Mar
@ Quintanar del Rey
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ RSD Alcalá
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Valladolid II and Navalcarnero.
What is the prediction for Real Valladolid II vs Navalcarnero?
Our pick is Real Valladolid II to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Real Valladolid II vs Navalcarnero?
On our numbers Real Valladolid II have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Navalcarnero 26%.
How many goals will there be in Real Valladolid II vs Navalcarnero?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Valladolid II vs Navalcarnero?
Our predicted score is Real Valladolid II 1–0 Navalcarnero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Real Valladolid II vs Navalcarnero?
Real Valladolid II vs Navalcarnero (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
