Calvo Sotelo vs Gimnástica Segoviana prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Calvo Sotelo or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.40Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.10 – our chance 58% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +78%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗58% · @3.10
Double chanceCalvo Sotelo or draw ✗80% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗11% · fair 9.51
Calvo Sotelo vs Gimnástica Segoviana preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 5 sees Calvo Sotelo take on Gimnástica Segoviana on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Calvo Sotelo are 18th with 6 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Gimnástica Segoviana sit 14th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Calvo Sotelo's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Marchamalo 3–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Gimnástica Segoviana's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Real Madrid III 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Calvo Sotelo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Calvo Sotelo and 1.1 for Gimnástica Segoviana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 46%.
Value angle: Draw at 3.10 – 58% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Calvo Sotelo or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.25, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Calvo Sotelo 1–1 Gimnástica Segoviana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Calvo Sotelo22%fair 4.46 · @2.40
Draw58%fair 1.74 · @3.10
Gimnástica Segoviana20%fair 5.00 · @2.62
2.25Expected goals
1.15Calvo Sotelo xG
1.10Gimnástica Segoviana xG
46%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Calvo Sotelo 1.2 – 1.1 Gimnástica Segoviana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
58%
1.74
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Calvo Sotelo or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Calvo Sotelo / FT Calvo Sotelo✗
21%
4.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0✗
11%
9.51
–
Form
Calvo Sotelo – last 6
WWDWWL
2 Apr
@ Marchamalo
3–1
W
15 Mar
vs Tarancón
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Pedroñeras
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Sonseca
3–1
W
22 Feb
vs San Clemente
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Villacañas
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gimnástica Segoviana – last 6
LLLDLW
29 Aug
vs Real Madrid III
0–1
L
26 Aug
@ Leganés II
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Rayo Majadahonda
0–1
L
19 Aug
@ RSD Alcalá
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Atlético Madrid II
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Calvo Sotelo and Gimnástica Segoviana.
What is the prediction for Calvo Sotelo vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
Our pick is Calvo Sotelo or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Calvo Sotelo vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
On our numbers Calvo Sotelo have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 58% and Gimnástica Segoviana 20%.
How many goals will there be in Calvo Sotelo vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Calvo Sotelo vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
Our predicted score is Calvo Sotelo 1–1 Gimnástica Segoviana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Calvo Sotelo vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
Calvo Sotelo vs Gimnástica Segoviana (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
