Real Madrid III vs Albacete II prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Real Madrid III or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.60 – our chance 53% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +90%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓53% · @3.60
Double chanceReal Madrid III or draw ✓81% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.83
Real Madrid III vs Albacete II preview and prediction
The match
Albacete II travel to face Real Madrid III in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 6 September (10:00 WAT). Real Madrid III are 11th with 11 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Albacete II sit 10th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Real Madrid III's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Gimnástica Segoviana 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Albacete II's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Leioa 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Real Madrid III and 1.1 for Albacete II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 48%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Madrid III 28%, draw 53%, Albacete II 19%.
Safer route: Real Madrid III or draw (81%) at 1.28.
Value angle: Draw at 3.60 – 53% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Real Madrid III or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Real Madrid III 1–1 Albacete II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Madrid III28%fair 3.54 · @2.00
Draw53%fair 1.89 · @3.60
Albacete II19%fair 5.31 · @3.00
2.49Expected goals
1.34Real Madrid III xG
1.15Albacete II xG
48%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–07%
From our goals model: Real Madrid III 1.3 – 1.1 Albacete II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
53%
1.89
3.60 ▲
Double chance
Real Madrid III or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Madrid III / FT Real Madrid III✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.83
–
Form
Real Madrid III – last 6
WLWWWL
29 Aug
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
1–0
W
3 May
vs Conquense
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ SS Reyes
3–0
W
14 Apr
vs Colonia Moscardó
1–0
W
11 Apr
@ Las Palmas II
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs CD Coria
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Albacete II – last 6
WLWLWD
21 Jun
vs Leioa
2–0
W
13 Jun
@ Leioa
0–1
L
6 Jun
vs Manchego
3–0
W
30 May
@ Manchego
0–2
L
24 May
@ Toledo
1–0
W
17 May
vs Toledo
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Madrid III and Albacete II.
What is the prediction for Real Madrid III vs Albacete II?
Our pick is Real Madrid III or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Real Madrid III vs Albacete II?
On our numbers Real Madrid III have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 53% and Albacete II 19%.
How many goals will there be in Real Madrid III vs Albacete II?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Madrid III vs Albacete II?
Our predicted score is Real Madrid III 1–1 Albacete II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Real Madrid III vs Albacete II?
Real Madrid III vs Albacete II (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
