Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.25 – our chance 56% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +84%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗56% · @3.25
Double chanceRSD Alcalá or draw ✓82% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.64
RSD Alcalá vs CF Talavera preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 5 sees RSD Alcalá take on CF Talavera on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT). RSD Alcalá are 13th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while CF Talavera sit 8th on 15 points (in the top half).
Form guide
RSD Alcalá's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Gimnástica Segoviana 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CF Talavera's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Getafe II 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
RSD Alcalá arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for RSD Alcalá and 1.1 for CF Talavera. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 47%.
Value angle: Draw at 3.25 – 56% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was RSD Alcalá or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: RSD Alcalá 1–1 CF Talavera. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
RSD Alcalá26%fair 3.89 · @2.10
Draw56%fair 1.77 · @3.25
CF Talavera18%fair 5.63 · @3.00
2.36Expected goals
1.26RSD Alcalá xG
1.10CF Talavera xG
47%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: RSD Alcalá 1.3 – 1.1 CF Talavera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
56%
1.77
3.25 ▲
Double chance
RSD Alcalá or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT RSD Alcalá / FT RSD Alcalá✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.64
–
Form
RSD Alcalá – last 6
DLDWWW
19 Aug
vs Gimnástica Segoviana
1–1
D
3 May
vs CD Coria
1–2
L
26 Apr
@ Quintanar del Rey
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Rayo Vallecano II
3–0
W
12 Apr
@ Fuenlabrada
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Las Palmas II
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CF Talavera – last 6
LDLDLW
19 Aug
vs Getafe II
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Illescas
1–1
D
10 May
@ Osasuna II
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Guadalajara
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ Ponferradina
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Arenteiro
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between RSD Alcalá and CF Talavera.
What is the prediction for RSD Alcalá vs CF Talavera?
Our pick is RSD Alcalá or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win RSD Alcalá vs CF Talavera?
On our numbers RSD Alcalá have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 56% and CF Talavera 18%.
How many goals will there be in RSD Alcalá vs CF Talavera?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for RSD Alcalá vs CF Talavera?
Our predicted score is RSD Alcalá 1–1 CF Talavera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is RSD Alcalá vs CF Talavera?
RSD Alcalá vs CF Talavera (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
