Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEstepona to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.32
Marbella vs Estepona preview and prediction
The match
Marbella host Estepona in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Banus Football Center. Marbella are 15th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Estepona sit 8th on 15 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Marbella's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Badajoz 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Estepona's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Atlético Central 3–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Estepona arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Marbella and 1.5 for Estepona. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 61%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Marbella 1–1 Estepona. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marbella34%fair 2.93 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.00
Estepona41%fair 2.41 · @2.30
2.83Expected goals
1.33Marbella xG
1.50Estepona xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Marbella 1.3 – 1.5 Estepona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estepona to win✗
41%
2.41
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.73 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estepona / FT Estepona✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.32
–
Form
Marbella – last 6
LLDWLD
11 Oct
@ Badajoz
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs Real Betis II
0–2
L
27 Sep
@ Puente Genil
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Atlético Central
4–1
W
13 Sep
@ Sevilla Atletico
0–3
L
6 Sep
vs Sanluqueño
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Estepona – last 6
WWLWLD
11 Oct
vs Atlético Central
3–2
W
3 Oct
vs Don Benito
3–1
W
27 Sep
@ Tenerife II
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Puente Genil
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Linares Deportivo
1–4
L
5 Sep
vs Xerez
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marbella and Estepona.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Marbella vs Estepona?
On our numbers Marbella have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Estepona 41%.
How many goals will there be in Marbella vs Estepona?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marbella vs Estepona?
Our predicted score is Marbella 1–1 Estepona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Marbella vs Estepona?
Marbella vs Estepona (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Banus Football Center.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
